Parhaat Economic Insights Podcastit (2024)

1
Predictions from early sales, commodity pacing 12:00

2y ago12:00

12:00

David discusses early commodity sales numbers, takes a more in-depth look at which commodities are selling to China and in what quantities, provides an update on the soon-to-end 2022 Yield Forecast Challenge, and announces a few temporary changes to the regular video and podcast production schedules.…

1
Another look: corn and Mexico, soybean yields 10:44

2y ago10:44

10:44

David discusses the current situation with Mexican imports of U.S. corn, the implications of a no-GMO and anti-glyphosate import policy, the change in corn use in Mexico, and how the Westcott-Jewison model applies to soybeans.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
In with the new: New yield data, new questions, new podcast season 11:34

2y ago11:34

11:34

David discusses yield details from the newly released October WASDE report, trends in wheat pricing, and the relationship between corn and wheat prices, highlights the four remaining questions in the AEI Yield Forecast Challenge, and introduces the newest season of AEI Presents - Nothing Borrowed, Nothing Gained.…

1
Examining inflation and missing corn, soybean acres 13:30

2y ago13:30

13:30

David discusses new articles, explores the causes of the reduction in planted soybean and corn acres from the March Perspective Planting report, and examines the pace of inflation.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Examining fertilizer prices and captial expenditures 13:59

2y ago13:59

13:59

David discusses recent articles, takes a closer look at what relative pricing means for fertilizer price ratios, explores trends in capital expenditures, and highlights how predicting the path of a hurricane uses forecasting that could be applied to other topics.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
The Fed, interest rates, and fertilizer - oh my 12:42

2y ago12:42

12:42

David discusses recent articles, changes in the interest rate, what long-term rates may mean for farmers, and shifting fertilizer prices.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Crunching the numbers: Crop yield, use, and ag spending 7:47

2+ y ago7:47

7:47

David discusses details from the September WASDE Report, results of a deeper dive into government agricultural spending programs, and takes a look at net farm income.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Accounting for new data and revising predictions 15:31

2+ y ago15:31

15:31

David and Brent discuss gasoline price changes, commodity exports, crop yield predictions, sales of corn to China, and what makes a fragile game challenging to playKirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Taking a deeper dive into ending stocks and solutions 11:36

2+ y ago11:36

11:36

David discusses the tight grain stocks situation, U.S. and global ending stocks, ways to potentially fix a tight stock situation, and a likely outcome from the current tight stock situation.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Taking a longer look at crop yield influencers and farmland values 12:55

2+ y ago12:55

12:55

David discusses new articles, Jeff Young's ongoing analysis of crop yields and recent application of the Westcott-Jewison model, a more complete look at changes to farmland values, and the newest episode of the Ag Interrupted podcast.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
The August Yield Episode 9:57

2+ y ago9:57

9:57

David soliloquizes about crop yield forecasts, yield uncertainty remaining at this point in the year, the state of the ongoing Ag Forecast Challenge, and new articles.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Highlighting WASDE results and market forces 9:12

2+ y ago9:12

9:12

David soliloquizes about the yield and crop details from the August WASDE, changes to Indiana farmland values, and corn-soybean exchange rates with established and emerging economies.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Implications of China's buying habits and economic pain points 11:59

2+ y ago11:59

11:59

David discusses the upcoming WASDE report's implications for yield changes, the ongoing Yield Forecast Challenge, ag commodity purchases from China, and the roles of relative prices and elasticity.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Talking about the Fed and how to define a recession 13:50

2+ y ago13:50

13:50

David and Brent discuss dry planting conditions, an episode of the Ag Interrupted series, farm loan delinquencies, the farm economy, and a book about George Washington.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Examining growing conditions, yields, and ROI 14:54

2+ y ago14:54

14:54

David discusses the changes to the AEI website, unpacks what the data presented by the drought monitor may mean for crop yields, and takes a look at the idea of ROI.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Exploring July's crop yield data and macroeconomic predictions 15:32

2+ y ago15:32

15:32

David discusses implications from the July WASDE and June acreage reports, interest rate movement, commodity pricing, and planned changes to both the AEI site and the publication time for the weekly newsletter.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Three thoughts for mid-July 11:10

2+ y ago11:10

11:10

David discusses market uncertainty, farm debt, the changes to family living expenses, and due diligence in "desperate times." Additionally, keep an eye out for the USDA's July 12 WASDE report, which will resolve some AFN questions and open new ones.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Mid-year roundup: 6 months into 2022 how is the crop shapping up? 19:40

2+ y ago19:40

19:40

David discusses progress on New Year's resolutions, gasoline consumption, trends in vegetable oil production, and the placebo effect, and teases an upcoming podcast series - Ag Interrupted.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Diving into the macro-economy: What the Fed has been doing and what it could mean 15:35

2+ y ago15:35

15:35

David discusses recent articles and questions focusing on the macro-economy, actions of the Federal Reserve, and predictions for interest rates, inflation trends, and the Fed fund rate.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Implications of prevent plant and commodity usage 12:55

2+ y ago12:55

12:55

David discusses recent articles and reports highlighting the results of the June WASDE report, actions of the Federal Reserve, and the stocks-to-use situation.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Lessons from the past: corn prices, deja vu, and estate taxes, 14:39

2+ y ago14:39

14:39

David comments on recent articles including one marking the end of an Ag Forecast Network question on taxes, and one regarding the interaction of inflation and corn prices, which also brings up a lesson from history.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
It's just money: Examining fertilizer price trends and soybean meal and oil prices 10:24

2+ y ago10:24

10:24

David discusses the ongoing - and still accepting new contestants - Yield Forecast Challenge ahead of the upcoming WASDE report set to be released June 10, fertilizer price changes, and fluctuations in the price of soybean meal and oil.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Data-based considerations: Examining gas prices and double-cropping soybeans 18:25

2+ y ago18:25

18:25

David discusses elements influencing double-cropping, acre swapping, and the implications of gasoline pricing and consumption.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Implications of delayed planting, crop yields, and usage 14:17

2+ y ago14:17

14:17

David discusses new articles, the prevent plant and crop yield situation, the potential for crops to see acre switching or demand rationing occur, and takes a look at the meaning behind the phrase “Desperate times call for desperate measures.”Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
May: The merry month for data 16:01

2+ y ago16:01

16:01

David discusses data and implications from the May WASDE report, initial results for several Ag Forecast Network questions, updates the early results of the Yield Forecast Challenge, and highlights new articles.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Seeking answers: Looking at China's buying habits and yield predictions 11:38

2+ y ago11:38

11:38

David highlights important elements of the upcoming May WASDE report, reviews the open questions for the 2022 Yield Challenge, and discusses details of recent articles.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Another perspective on the ag sector: Watching land sales and uncertainty 16:28

2+ y ago16:28

16:28

David and guest co-host Randall Dickhut discuss farmland sales, land value, cash rental rates, and the rise in uncertainty.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Evaluating gloomy predictions, stagflation, and yield potential 18:24

2+ y ago18:24

18:24

David and Brent discuss new articles and insights, stagflation, and the early days of the 2022 Ag Forecast Network Yield Challenge.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Yield Challenge Kickoff: How will corn, soybean yields develop in 2022? 5:42

2+ y ago5:42

5:42

David kicks off the start of the 2022 Yield Forecast Challenge - 16 questions with a $1,600 prize - with the initial questions and details of recent yield-focused articles.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Tackling the macroeconomy: Questions, interest rates, and the Fed 20:10

2+ y ago20:10

20:10

David and Brent discuss the macroeconomy including ongoing Ag Forcast Network questions about potential actions of the Fed, inflation rates, supply shocks, and debt.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
How many acres? Looking at the corn/soybean breakdown 16:21

2+ y ago16:21

16:21

David and Brent discuss the somewhat unexpected results of the USDA's March Prospective Planting report and share how well the Ag Forecast Network Consensus predicted the outcome of crop-based questions.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Question resolution: Reviewing answers and opening new inquiries 17:22

2+ y ago17:22

17:22

David soliloquizes about articles and questions covering topics including farm sector assets debt, fertilizer prices, and oil prices, before touching on details of the upcoming Yield Forecast Challenge.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
March 2022: Dealing with grain markets and chaos 16:39

3y ago16:39

16:39

David and Brent discuss how to handle chaos, commodity price increases resulting from the Ukraine-Russia situation, new Ag Forcast Network questions, and what happened last time Congress tried to end daylight saving time.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Diving into crop (and insurance) details 11:15

3y ago11:15

11:15

Speaking from the Commodity Classic, David chats about new articles and new questions, crop insurance price windows, the corn-soybean crop price ratio, and a memo about how to deal with chaos.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Crop acres expand: Looking at the where and what 12:29

3y ago12:29

12:29

David and Brent discuss global acreage expansion by country and crop type along with elements influencing the macroeconomic situation.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Russia and Ukraine: Grain market perspective 10:17

3y ago10:17

10:17

David and Brent discuss the situation with Russia and Ukraine from a crop production and commodity perspective following the initial stages of the invasion. Data shared in the conversation stems from analyses completed in a new What We Are Thinking About Memo.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
USDA data and the acreage debate continues 17:43

3y ago17:43

17:43

David and Brent discuss new USDA data on net farm income estimates. This week's conversation also highlights ARC and PLC and possible Farm Bill programs, along with planted acreage potentials.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Crop Insurance Conundrums 9:19

3y ago9:19

9:19

David and Brent discuss crop insurance, the conclusion of an Ag Forecast Network question about sales to China, and the weather-forecasting abilities of groundhogs.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Considering the 1980s: Applying lessons from the past 10:40

3y ago10:40

10:40

David and Brent discuss podcasting, using historical situations to improve thinking about current events and decision-making, the "rhyming" nature of history, and carrying lessons forward.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
The Fed’s doing what? Tackling the macroeconomy 20:27

3y ago20:27

20:27

David and Brent discuss new articles, the macroeconomy, the most recent meeting of the Fed - including its implications for interest rates - and the potential influence of the Russia/Ukraine situation on the grain trade.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Planted acres and consistency: Ensuring answers match 14:45

3y ago14:45

14:45

David and Brent discuss what it means to be carbon neutral versus aspiring to be carbon neutral, new articles, the influence of China on the grain trade, and open Ag Forecast Network questions.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
USDA data answers AFN questions 13:39

3y ago13:39

13:39

David and Brent discuss the data from new USDA reports and recently published articles, and examine results from several now closed AFN questions.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Ring in the New Year with new questions 17:06

3y ago17:06

17:06

Brent and David start the New Year discussing implications of the most recent Fed meeting along with the new questions coming to the Ag Forecast Network. Not yet a member of AEI Premium? Sign up for a free 14-day trial: https://aei.ag/premium/.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Talking turkey about the Fed 17:58

3y ago17:58

17:58

Brent and David discuss the Fed's latest meeting and implications from interest rates, inflation, GDP, and farmland value. Not yet a member of AEI Premium? Sign up for a free 14-day trial: https://aei.ag/premium/.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Taxes and the turning of the year 22:30

3y ago22:30

22:30

David and Brent take a look at new articles, highlight memorable moments from 2021, and discuss the multiple elements to consider when thinking about corn or soybean planting for 2022. Not yet a member of AEI Premium? Sign up for a free 14-day trial: https://aei.ag/premium/.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Crystal balls and buget formulation: Getting ready for 2022 15:17

3y ago15:17

15:17

David and Brent discuss recent articles and the role that market volatility is playing in both outlook determinations for anticipated plantings and budget preparation. Not yet a member of AEI Premium? Sign up for a free 14-day trial: https://aei.ag/premium/.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Planting pace or summer heat - what elements have more influence on yield? 20:46

3y ago20:46

20:46

David and guest co-host Jeff Young take a closer look at the Yield Model Project and lessons learned about factors that influence crop yield as highlighted by Westcott-Jewison. Not yet a member of AEI Premium? Sign up for a free 14-day trial: https://aei.ag/premium/.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Scarcity or hiccup: Taking a closer look at the fertilizer market 23:57

3y ago23:57

23:57

David and guest co-host Troy Walker dive into the details of the fertilizer market and highlight potential challenges that could be on the horizon. Not yet a member of AEI Premium? Sign up for a free 14-day trial: https://aei.ag/premium/.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Gaining ground: A look at market influence on soybeans and acres 14:00

3y ago14:00

14:00

David delves into the changing market for soybean oil and reviews the players in this year's acreage debate before asking listeners to think about why the end of Daylight Saving Time makes them grumble. Not yet a member of AEI Premium? Sign up for a free 14-day trial: https://aei.ag/premium/.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

1
Lessons learned: thinking about poker, decision making, and curiosity 8:16

3y ago8:16

8:16

David and Brent reflect on lessons learned from poker, books, and the benefits of curiosity. Not yet a member of AEI Premium? Sign up for a free 14-day trial: https://aei.ag/premium/.Kirjoittanut AEI Presents

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