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Sisällön tarjoaa Jeff Snider. Jeff Snider tai sen podcast-alustan kumppani lataa ja toimittaa kaiken podcast-sisällön, mukaan lukien jaksot, grafiikat ja podcast-kuvaukset. Jos uskot jonkun käyttävän tekijänoikeudella suojattua teostasi ilman lupaasi, voit seurata tässä https://fi.player.fm/legal kuvattua prosessia.
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Eurodollar University
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Manage series 2679639
Sisällön tarjoaa Jeff Snider. Jeff Snider tai sen podcast-alustan kumppani lataa ja toimittaa kaiken podcast-sisällön, mukaan lukien jaksot, grafiikat ja podcast-kuvaukset. Jos uskot jonkun käyttävän tekijänoikeudella suojattua teostasi ilman lupaasi, voit seurata tässä https://fi.player.fm/legal kuvattua prosessia.
Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.
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1035 jaksoa
Merkitse kaikki (ei-)toistetut ...
Manage series 2679639
Sisällön tarjoaa Jeff Snider. Jeff Snider tai sen podcast-alustan kumppani lataa ja toimittaa kaiken podcast-sisällön, mukaan lukien jaksot, grafiikat ja podcast-kuvaukset. Jos uskot jonkun käyttävän tekijänoikeudella suojattua teostasi ilman lupaasi, voit seurata tässä https://fi.player.fm/legal kuvattua prosessia.
Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.
…
continue reading
1035 jaksoa
All episodes
×I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 The only question is how long the Fed can hold out, not if. With other central banks racing toward the bottom already, the fact those around the FOMC are also speaking with more forceful concerns - even downgrading - their expectations has the Fed effectively trapped, only a step maybe two away from re-entering that same race. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg US Growth Downgrades Appear on Wall Street Amid Policy Turmoil https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-03-10/us-recession-growth-downgrades-appear-on-wall-street-amid-policy-turmoil Atlanta Fed GDPNow https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 adjustments https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gdp-forecasters-some-gold-doesnt-glitter-atlantafed-fxb2e/?trackingId=IKtl2qJkTya%2FgvCxax%2FXEQ%3D%3D Bloomberg Fed Needs to Raise Threat of ‘Bad News’ Rate Cuts, El-Erian Says https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-19/el-erian-says-fed-needs-to-raise-threat-of-bad-news-rate-cuts https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ I am also doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 After credit spreads had narrowed to near historic lows last month, they've made a major move off them. In fact, the rise in spreads has already equaled last summer. But this year's credit selloff has begun to spread to other segments of the marketplace, including sharp price changes in risky assets like leveraged loans and even private equity. And there is a small hint of yen. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 The big drop in retail sales in January turns out to have been even bigger - much more. And then February consumer spending failed to rebound from it, coming in way below expectations, too. Add retail sales to the growing list on the side of "recession scare." Plus, the bad start to 2025 confirms a whole lot more on that side. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg Disappointing Retail Sales Add to Concerns About US Outlook https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-17/us-retail-sales-rise-by-less-than-forecast-after-january-drop NFR CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor Shows February Sales Were Down Monthly Amid Tariff Concerns https://nrf.com/media-center/press-releases/cnbc-nrf-retail-monitor-shows-february-sales-were-down-monthly-amid-tariff-concerns Bloomberg The US Economic Outlook Is Becoming More Uncertain https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-03-17/the-us-economic-outlook-is-becoming-more-uncertain Bloomberg Gen Z’s Job Recession Needs Urgent Attention https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-03-17/gen-z-job-recession-needs-urgent-attention https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 The return of zero interest rates. Not in some distant future, right now. A major central bank will be debating the potential return of ZIRP this week. And it is far from alone; policy rates aren't just falling all over the world, they're already a lot closer to the historical lows everyone said we'd never see again. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 Foreign companies are fleeing China in droves as the government there is now smack in the middle of an epic borrowing spree. Those two things are related, both stemming from the same major deficiency: banks. Not central banks; actual banks. And China's institutions continue to explore new depths. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg Chinese Stocks Surge as Beijing Plans Briefing on Consumption https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-14/consumer-stocks-drive-china-benchmark-to-highest-level-this-year Bloomberg China Has Record Foreign Investment Outflow as $168 Billion Exit https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-14/china-has-record-foreign-investment-outflow-as-168-billion-exit https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ I am also doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 The global "race to the bottom" for interest rates is already well underway, more than most people might think. They've been led to believe it's just a few rate cuts here or there, when the reality is very different. The Bank of Canada is a perfect example, a central bank that has already lowered its rates by a ton. Markets and fundamentals all say there's more coming; the rate race is far from over. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare. You can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 Delta airlines in January said business was booming and that the company had confidence there was no end in sight Yesterday, the CEO called the first quarter a "parade of horribles" as economic "uncertainty" spoiled everything. Delta was not alone and not just in terms of airlines. There isn't economic uncertainty, the opposite is taking hold including what was in the February CPI. Not only did it confirm the latest from the carriers, there was a whole lot more in it beside. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Dallas Morning News Walmart CEO warns food prices are causing ‘frustration and pain’ https://www.dallasnews.com/business/retail/2025/03/03/walmart-ceo-warns-food-prices-are-causing-frustration-and-pain/ Delta Airlines 8-k https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0000027904/11d5a8ff-be02-448c-84f4-463a77b3365f.pdf Bloomberg Delta Air Surges After Bet on More Premium Seats Pays Off https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-10/delta-tops-profit-estimates-on-overseas-business-travel-rebound IBD Delta, American Dive On Slashed Outlooks; But Two Airlines Rally https://www.investors.com/news/delta-air-lines-cuts-q1-2025-guidance-demand-delta-stock-dal/ https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ I am also doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 While the world is lost in the "recession scare", China comes along and adds its considerable deflationary weight to it by reporting more outright price deflation. Both consumer and producer. Together with a sharp drop in imports, this global loss of macro momentum is certainly not lost on China. That can only mean one thing: more government debt. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis CNN China’s deflation problems get worse https://www.cnn.com/2025/03/10/economy/china-cpi-deflation-problems-intl-hnk/index.html https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 Stocks plunged, bond yields dropped, the R-word is now the common phrase in the media...Jay Powell says everything is just fine and dandy. Even the President is now cautioning the economy might be going through a "transition" and the markets more and more can't get away from it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg Bond Market’s Trump Trade Is Looking Like a Recession Play https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-09/the-bond-market-s-trump-trade-is-looking-like-a-recession-trade Bloomberg Treasuries Gain as Trump Transition Talk Fuels Recession Angst https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-10/us-credit-risk-rises-as-tariffs-job-cuts-stoke-recession-fears Jay Powell in Chicago https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6pZzfv8AQE NBC Dow falls nearly 900 points and Nasdaq dives 4% as stock selloff gathers steam https://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/stocks-tank-trump-declines-dismiss-recession-risk-rcna195653 https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 Hot on the heels of the big drop in employment, global trade soared at the absolute wrong time and for all the wrong reasons. Both point to the same huge loss of economic momentum, now seen coming from places all over the world. China, Canada...even the USA. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ Macy's is yet another with a warning on the economy just in time for the payroll numbers on February. They were a disaster if hardly anyone saw the true scale of it. Macy's might have a sense, as do other retailers. The data shows there really is big time trouble brewing in the jobs market. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Sign up for our free March 24 webinar on the big emerging global trends: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 WSJ Macy’s Expects Sales to Drop Again This Year https://www.wsj.com/business/earnings/macys-q4-earnings-results-m-stock-d3da1b6a CNBC U.S. payroll growth totals 151,000 in February, less than expected https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/07/jobs-report-february-2025.html https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
Sign up for our free March 24 webinar right here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6 Another bazooka, this time from Germany, of all places. The mere thought of it has been enough to send the German bond market into a tailspin and sending yields to nearly their highest in fourteen years while also pulling other parts of the marketplace into it, too. Does the selloff signal inflation, success, or something else entirely? What are the implications for everyone else? Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Politico Germany moves to overhaul debt rules to unleash major defense spending https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-unveils-e500-billion-defense-plan-as-security-threats-mount/ Roberto Perotti What Do We Know about the Effects of Fiscal Policy? https://www.siepweb.it/siep/wp/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/1397925830013.pdf Wilson, Daniel J.. 2012. "Fiscal Spending Jobs Multipliers: Evidence from the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4 (3): 251–82. https://www.aeaweb.org/articles/pdf/doi/10.1257/pol.4.3.251 https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
If you are in any way interested in precious metals, you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/ Target issued another warning on the economy and then joined Best Buy as merely the first to say they're raising prices. While that may sound inflationary, it's the opposite and will end up pushing interest rates even lower. Those are already happening in the market, in part as markets more confidently price how the Fed is going to have to follow along, too. Just like last summer. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Bloomberg Target, Best Buy Warn US Consumers of Tariff Price Hikes https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-04/target-sees-flat-sales-this-year-warns-of-risk-from-tariffs Bloomberg Traders Pile Into Fed Rate-Cut Bets as Tariffs Roil Markets https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-04/us-yield-curve-steepens-on-growth-angst-with-tariffs-now-reality Atlanta Fed GDPNow https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
Stocks are getting hit, with bond yields tumbling. The "growth scare" gets louder as the luxury car brand just confirmed it's heading for the worst, no longer willing to hold out for economic strength everyone talks about yet never happens. The forgot how to grow economy is firmly at risk of remembering traditional recession mechanics. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis WSJ Mercedes-Benz Plans to Cut Jobs as Earnings Expected to Slump https://www.wsj.com/business/earnings/mercedes-benz-plans-cost-cuts-as-earnings-expected-to-fall-this-year-6268813a Bloomberg S&P 500 Sees Worst Selloff in 2025 as Bonds Climb: Markets Wrap https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-02/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates ISM Feb 2025 https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/pmi/february/ https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
Not a good week for financial markets. Oil down. Rates sunk. Stocks hit. Crypto crashing. Why? The "growth scare" is back. Or, at least, it's back in the mainstream. In reality, it never left and certain financial markets are being forced to reckon with this. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre Atlanta Fed GDPNow https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow https://www.eurodollar.university Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU…
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