Do your eyes glaze over when looking at a long list of annual health insurance enrollment options – or maybe while you’re trying to calculate how much you owe the IRS? You might be wondering the same thing we are: Where’s the guidebook for all of this grown-up stuff? Whether opening a bank account, refinancing student loans, or purchasing car insurance (...um, can we just roll the dice without it?), we’re just as confused as you are. Enter: “Grown-Up Stuff: How to Adult” a podcast dedicated ...
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Modelling infectious diseases: what can branching processes tell us?
Manage episode 324917924 series 1610930
Sisällön tarjoaa Oxford University. Oxford University tai sen podcast-alustan kumppani lataa ja toimittaa kaiken podcast-sisällön, mukaan lukien jaksot, grafiikat ja podcast-kuvaukset. Jos uskot jonkun käyttävän tekijänoikeudella suojattua teostasi ilman lupaasi, voit seurata tässä https://fi.player.fm/legal kuvattua prosessia.
Professor Samir Bhatt gives a talk on the mathematics underpinning infectious disease models. Mathematical descriptions of infectious disease outbreaks are fundamental to understanding how transmission occurs. Reductively, two approaches are used: individual based simulators and governing equation models, and both approaches have a multitude of pros and cons. This talk connects these two worlds via general branching processes and discusses (at a high level) the rather beautiful mathematics that arises from them and how they can help us understand the assumptions underpinning mathematical models for infectious disease. This talk explains how this new maths can help us understand uncertainty better, and shows some simple examples. This talk is somewhat technical, but focuses as much as possible on intuition and the big picture.
…
continue reading
51 jaksoa
Manage episode 324917924 series 1610930
Sisällön tarjoaa Oxford University. Oxford University tai sen podcast-alustan kumppani lataa ja toimittaa kaiken podcast-sisällön, mukaan lukien jaksot, grafiikat ja podcast-kuvaukset. Jos uskot jonkun käyttävän tekijänoikeudella suojattua teostasi ilman lupaasi, voit seurata tässä https://fi.player.fm/legal kuvattua prosessia.
Professor Samir Bhatt gives a talk on the mathematics underpinning infectious disease models. Mathematical descriptions of infectious disease outbreaks are fundamental to understanding how transmission occurs. Reductively, two approaches are used: individual based simulators and governing equation models, and both approaches have a multitude of pros and cons. This talk connects these two worlds via general branching processes and discusses (at a high level) the rather beautiful mathematics that arises from them and how they can help us understand the assumptions underpinning mathematical models for infectious disease. This talk explains how this new maths can help us understand uncertainty better, and shows some simple examples. This talk is somewhat technical, but focuses as much as possible on intuition and the big picture.
…
continue reading
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