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Robin Hanson — Boxing with the King of Prediction Markets
Manage episode 300041996 series 2970761
A pioneer of prediction markets since the 1980s, Robin Hanson is the author of two books (The Elephant in the Brain, The Age of Em) and has a popular blog called Overcoming Bias. Hanson is also an Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University, and Research Associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University.
In this episode:
(00:00) — Episodes begins
(01:07) — What inspired idea futures?
(06:00) — Decision markets for organisations
(09:16) — Using prediction markets to overcome bias
(14:25) — Honesty razors in today's world
(17:08) — "An autist in the C-suite"
(24:25) — Ideamarket discussion begins
Round 1
(43:10) — Why Ideamarket results are not tied to any external truth
Round 2
(55:44) — Informed traders vs Noise traders
Round 3
(1:16:34) — The Colour Wheel of Truth — is Ideamarket a Keynesian Beauty Contest?
EPISODE LINKS:
- Book: The Age of Em: Work, Love, and Life when Robots Rule the Earth
- Book: The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life
IDEAMARKET LINKS
—
The Ideamarket Podcast is where venture philosophers share the ideas, trends, and concepts they're most bullish on.
—
About Ideamarket:
Ideamarket is the credibility layer of the internet.
Ideamarket allows the public to mainstream the world's best information using market signals, replacing media corporations as arbiter of credibility.
—
21 jaksoa
Manage episode 300041996 series 2970761
A pioneer of prediction markets since the 1980s, Robin Hanson is the author of two books (The Elephant in the Brain, The Age of Em) and has a popular blog called Overcoming Bias. Hanson is also an Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University, and Research Associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University.
In this episode:
(00:00) — Episodes begins
(01:07) — What inspired idea futures?
(06:00) — Decision markets for organisations
(09:16) — Using prediction markets to overcome bias
(14:25) — Honesty razors in today's world
(17:08) — "An autist in the C-suite"
(24:25) — Ideamarket discussion begins
Round 1
(43:10) — Why Ideamarket results are not tied to any external truth
Round 2
(55:44) — Informed traders vs Noise traders
Round 3
(1:16:34) — The Colour Wheel of Truth — is Ideamarket a Keynesian Beauty Contest?
EPISODE LINKS:
- Book: The Age of Em: Work, Love, and Life when Robots Rule the Earth
- Book: The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life
IDEAMARKET LINKS
—
The Ideamarket Podcast is where venture philosophers share the ideas, trends, and concepts they're most bullish on.
—
About Ideamarket:
Ideamarket is the credibility layer of the internet.
Ideamarket allows the public to mainstream the world's best information using market signals, replacing media corporations as arbiter of credibility.
—
21 jaksoa
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