Expect Slower Economic Growth and Modest Stock Market Gains in 2025 | LPL Market Signals

Market Signals by LPL Financial

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL strategists share their economic and stock market outlook for 2025, taken from the newly released Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism available on LPL.com's research page. They also recap last week’s tech-led market advance and preview the week ahead. The strategists highlight several key economic themes for 2025: • Slowing growth, not recession • Capital investment could provide support • Labor market slowly downshifts • Inflation remains historically elevated • Fed will cut rates at a slower pace The strategists then highlight these stock market themes for 2025: • Modest mid-to-high-single digit returns on strong earnings growth • Upside could come from lower interest rates, productivity gains or market-friendly policy changes • Risks include a potential pronounced economic slowdown, reaccelerating inflation, rate volatility, or geopolitical threats. • Given stretched investor sentiment and rich valuations, we favor buying dips. The strategists close with a brief preview of the week ahead, highlighted by inflation data and European Central bank rate decision. Tracking: #668622