Exploring the Paradox of Peace and Economics in Taiwan-China Relations and International Trade Expectations

Feudal Future

Discover the nuanced complexities of Taiwan-China relations and the unexpected preferences of their people towards peace, as we're joined by Raymond Kuo from the Rand Corporation and Professor Robert Koepp of Chapman University. Instead of the often-presumed march towards military conflict, we uncover a deeper narrative that highlights the Taiwanese public's recent electoral choices favoring a reduction in tensions with China. Our guests bring to light the intricate economic interdependencies that may be the true linchpins of stability in the region, as well as the strategic wisdom behind Taiwan's bolstering of its defenses—not for war, but as a steadfast deterrent to uphold the peace that both sides of the Taiwan Strait deeply value.
Then, let's unravel the intriguing theory by Dale Copeland on trade expectations and peaceful international relations, a perspective that might just redefine major power dynamics. We scrutinize the idea that the promise of burgeoning trade could be more influential in maintaining harmony than the current trade volume itself. If countries view the future of trade as bright, they're motivated to keep the peace; but if they foresee a trade downturn, the scales could tip towards conflict. This notion of the 'shadow of the future' provides a captivating lens through which we analyze state behavior on the global stage, and could very well be the key to understanding how economic foresight shapes international policies and alliances. Join us for a compelling exploration of these critical global issues with our esteemed experts.

Support Our Work
The Center for Demographics and Policy focuses on research and analysis of global, national, and regional demographic trends and explores policies that might produce favorable demographic results over time. It involves Chapman students in demographic research under the supervision of the Center’s senior staff.
Students work with the Center’s director and engage in research that will serve them well as they look to develop their careers in business, the social sciences, and the arts. Students also have access to our advisory board, which includes distinguished Chapman faculty and major demographic scholars from across the country and the world.
For additional information, please contact Mahnaz Asghari, Associate Director for the Center for Demographics and Policy, at [phone] or [e-mail].
Follow us on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-feudal-future-podcast/
Tweet thoughts: @joelkotkin, @mtoplansky, #FeudalFuture #BeyondFeudalism
Learn more about Joel's book 'The Coming of Neo-Feudalism': https://amzn.to/3a1VV87
Sign Up For News & Alerts: http://joelkotkin.com/#subscribe
This show is presented by the Chapman Center for Demographics and Policy, which focuses on research and analysis of global, national and regional demographic trends and explores policies that might produce favorable demographic results over time.

Luvut

1. Taiwan-China Relations and Economic Interests (00:00:00)

2. Trade Expectations in Reducing Conflict (00:07:20)