The Call By The Global Intelligence Desk podcast

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
Are We Ready for a New Age of Great Power Rivalry? 20:41

4 päivää sitten20:41

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20:41

The global landscape is undergoing profound shifts. The era of a U.S.-led, rules-based order is fading. In its place, we see a world driven by raw power, strategic rivalry, and shifting alliances—where military strength, economic leverage, and geopolitical maneuvering define who gets a seat at the table. This episode's guest, SAIS’s Hal Brands, sees the Trump administration as likely to attempt a grand reset with Moscow, hoping to break Russia from its growing alignment with China. But will this gamble pay off, or will it only push Moscow and Beijing closer together? And what does this new world—in which success is determined by power—mean for businesses, global trade, and economic security? The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
How Will Ukraine Peace Talks Reshape the Global Balance?    21:13

11 päivää sitten21:13

21:13

The dynamics of the war in Ukraine, after three years of stalemate, are showing signs of shifting. The Trump administration is pursuing direct negotiations with Russia. European leaders are meeting amongst themselves and clashing over whether to send in troops. Ukraine says it will not recognize any negotiations that do not include Kyiv. All this comes after the conflict reshaped assumptions over global power and triggered the largest surge in defense spending since the Cold War. Global military budgets soared to $2.46 trillion last year alone, a 7.4% increase, as nations rushed to fortify their defenses. The stakes for global security have never been higher. The Global Intelligence Desk is pleased to welcome Dr. Alina Polyakova, President and CEO of the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), one of the leading voices in transatlantic security, as we unpack the key takeaways from the Munich Security Conference, the latest shifts in Russia-Ukraine negotiations, and what these developments mean for global power dynamics and the future of international security. The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
What Dynamics Will Shape a New Era of Transatlantic Security? 17:36

18 päivää sitten17:36

17:36

The Munich Security Conference kicks off in Germany this Friday amid tensions on both sides of the Atlantic. Meanwhile, defense priorities are shifting with a new U.S. administration and upcoming elections in Germany and the European Union. Many items are on the agenda, but the conference will conclude with a discussion on Europe’s role in the world. We are joined by Keith Webster, Vice President at the Chamber, and President of the Defense and Aerospace Council and Federal Acquisition Council, calling in from Munich ahead of the Munich Security Conference. Webster will share his expectations for the meeting, key security challenges and how they relate to actionable insights for business, and how the U.S. and its allies are navigating these challenges as well as what lies ahead for transatlantic defense and economic security. The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
What Choices Will Shape Colombia in 2025 and Beyond? 26:06

25 päivää sitten26:06

26:06

Colombia stands at a critical economic juncture. Amid political uncertainty, shifting trade relations, security concerns and an ambitious energy transition, credit rating agencies are watching Colombia's fiscal health. A dispute with the U.S. over migrants and tariffs was resolved quickly, but focused attention on the bi-lateral relationship. Bogota’s policies on fossil fuel dependency, taxation, and investment are shaping the nation’s trajectory, while global factors—ranging from a strong U.S. dollar to geopolitical shifts—add further complexity. For this timely discussion, The Global Intelligence Desk is excited to host Juan Daniel Oviedo, an economist and former Director of Colombia’s National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE). As a leading voice on economic policy and regulatory frameworks, Oviedo shares insights on how Colombia can navigate this moment and seize opportunities for growth. The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

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How United is the European Union in 2025? 25:33

5 weeks sitten25:33

25:33

European unity is being put to the test. Across the continent, the Ukraine war is straining resources and defense capabilities. Tech regulation is a source of tension and debate. A populist backlash against migrants is roiling politics. And transatlantic relations are evolving amid rising competition with China. Europe has survived in recent decades through trade, and through a reliance on cheap Russian energy, all while outsourcing much of its security. But, as European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said at Davos last week, “those days are long gone.” Now, as differences emerge over how best to address Europe’s challenges, a question looms over the continent’s businesses and policymakers: How united is the European Union? For this timely discussion, The U.S. Chamber's Global Intelligence Desk is delighted to host Dr. Alexandra de Hoop Scheffer, the acting President of the German Marshall Fund of the United States. A leading voice in European and transatlantic affairs, Dr. de Hoop Scheffer provides key insights into how Europe is managing an increasingly restive voter base and a struggling economy. The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

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What Does Richard Haass See for the U.S. in 2025 and Beyond? 28:34

6 weeks sitten28:34

28:34

The U.S. will face a slew of foreign policy issues that will require attention in the months and years ahead: a weakened Iran in the Middle East, an economically struggling China, an expiring nuclear arms deal with Russia, a prolonged war in Ukraine, and a long list of economic issues involving friends and rivals alike. These challenges, and geopolitics in general, are rising to the top of the agenda of any U.S. business operating across borders. For 2025’s first episode of The Call, the Global Intelligence Desk is delighted to host an extended, live conversation with Richard Haass, President Emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations. Haass, a former senior advisor to the U.S. State Department and author of the weekly newsletter, Home & Away, helps us explore the dynamics shaping the debate over the future of U.S. foreign policy. The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

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What Does China’s Slowdown Mean for its Global Ambitions? (12/17/24) 22:02

6 weeks sitten22:02

22:02

After managing decades of double-digit economic expansion, China is now struggling to produce growth at half that rate, the result of a property market bust, deflation, flagging consumption and the collapse of local infrastructure investment. The upshot is growing uncertainty over Beijing’s economic, diplomatic and military role in the world, and to address that uncertainty, the Global Intelligence Desk is delighted to host an episode of The Call with Elizabeth Economy, the Hargrove Senior Fellow and co-chair of the Program on the US, China, and the World at the Hoover Institution. Economy will help us address a series of questions that are now top of mind for businesses and anybody following China’s economic challenges: What do China’s economic struggles mean for President Xi’s vision? Will China still leverage its market to pursue policy changes in other countries? Does a weaker economy slow China’s infrastructure investment abroad? Will Beijing turn inward, creating opportunities for the U.S.? Originally recorded 12/17/24 The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
Is Water Too Cheap? (12/12/24) 22:10

6 weeks sitten22:10

22:10

Businesses rely on water as a critical resource in the production and delivery of food and manufactured goods. Water stress can drive up costs, cause a significant disruption and lead to delays. Some say water is too cheap, too available, and often subsidized, causing overuse and poor stewardship. Our guest, Dr. Alex Money, Principal Investigator at Oxford University and founder of Watermarq, helps us address a series of questions related to the proposal for a rethink of water pricing: What are the tradeoffs to raising the price of water? Will this lead to better management of resource? Or just end up as a another effective tax? What are the risks to both businesses and communities if we don’t act? This episode was recorded on 12/12/24 The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

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How Will The Downfall Of Syria's Assad Shape The Middle East? (12/10/24) 19:38

6 weeks sitten19:38

19:38

Syria, now lead by Abu Mohammed al-Golani, the “Gatsby of jihadists,” faces a pivotal inflection point akin to the collapse of the Berlin Wall in the Middle East. If this government shift materializes into something more substantial, it could end decades of isolation, redraw Middle Eastern trade routes, and disrupt global power dynamics. On a special rapid response episode of the Call, Jennifer Miel, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's Vice President of Middle East, Central Asia and Türkiye, joins Jay to offer crucial context and the best guideposts to watch as this story unfolds. This episode was recorded on 12/10/24) The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

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Will Technology Erode the Global Hegemony of the Dollar? (12/5/24) 20:05

6 weeks sitten20:05

20:05

This week on The Call, we speak with Josh Lipsky from the Atlantic Council about the rapid evolution of financial technology and digital payment systems, a transformative shift that is opening more possibilities for trade across borders without touching the dollar. Interest in these networks is growing in the wake of the Ukraine war, and the sanctions the West imposed on Moscow, but another driver is simply a desire to develop cross-border payment systems that are fast, safe, easy and cheap. This episode was originally recorded on 12/5/24 The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

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What Are The Stakes In China's Growing Presence In Latin America? (11/21/24) 23:19

6 weeks sitten23:19

23:19

The Global Intelligence Desk hosts Margaret Myers, director at think tank Inter-American Dialogue for a conversation that sheds light on the implications of China’s growing presence in Latin America. This episode was originally recorded on 11/21/24) The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
Can Germany’s Next Government Clear the Hurdles to Recovery? (11/19/24) 19:48

6 weeks sitten19:48

19:48

Germany’s ruling coalition collapsed last fall just as Europe’s largest economy faces growing economic challenges. Energy costs are high, productivity is low, and its population is aging even as a backlash is growing against immigration – which is fragmenting the political landscape into increasingly entrenched camps. Signs are emerging that China, the U.S. and other key German export markets are growing less welcoming. All of this will force Berlin to face long-term challenges that have been building for years, says Judy Dempsey, Senior Fellow at Carnegie Europe, an affiliate of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and a former correspondent for multiple publications. “Germany has been living on borrowed time,” Dempsey says. This episode was originally recorded on 11/19/24 The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
What Tensions Will Flow From The Melting Arctic? (11/12/24) 23:50

6 weeks sitten23:50

23:50

The U.S. Chamber's Global Intelligence Desk is delighted to host an episode of The Call with German Marshall Fund former president and Senior Advisor Heather A. Conley, a leading expert on the growing Chinese-Russian collaboration in the Arctic. (This episode of The Call was recorded on November 12, 2024) The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
Does Japan's Long Slump Offer Lessons For China? (10/31/24) 20:06

6 weeks sitten20:06

20:06

Is China fighting off a Japan-style deflationary spiral? Stephen Roach, an economist affiliated with Yale University and a long-time scholar of both China and Japan, will joins the Call to share his analysis, noting the similarities do not mean China is destined to suffer Japan’s fate – unless China’s leadership fails to rise to the challenge with much more action. (This episode was recorded on 10/31/24) The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

The Call by the Global Intelligence Desk

1
On BRICS, the Dollar and Moscow’s Show of Friends (10/24/24) 20:41

6 weeks sitten20:41

20:41

This week, Russia hosts the 16th BRICS Summit in the southwestern city of Kazan, the first meeting since the original members - Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa - expanded to include Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates. As the IMF and World Bank convene in Washington, President Vladimir Putin has positioned the summit as proof of Russia's resilience under Western sanctions and a step towards reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency. Few expect any serious move to advance dollar alternatives. The meeting, however, does present a counterweight to the West: BRICS represents 45% of the world’s population, and 37% of global GDP – which Putin noted last week, outpaces the 27% of the Group of Seven industrialized nations. What does the BRICS summit say about Russian isolation? What effect have Western sanctions had on Russia’s economy? Will Russia succeed over the long-term in creating an alternative to the dollar, particularly as a platform for oil trading? And what are the stakes for business in the expansion of this trading bloc? The Call is delighted to host Sergey Aleksashenko, former Russian central banker, and board member of the Center for Analysis and Strategies in Europe (CASE). (This episode was recorded on 10/24/24) The Call is brought to you by the US Chamber of Commerce Global Intelligence Desk. Follow us on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-intelligence-desk…

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